A potential super El Nino is rapidly taking shape, with the tropical Pacific is warming well beyond El Nino thresholds and atmospheric conditions are reinforcing the event, says the Southern Hemisphere Monitoring Report of the Bureau of Meteorology Australia (BoM).
Meteorologists say it may become one of the most powerful El Niño events since 1950, triggering fears of major worldwide weather and climate disruptions.
El Nino is now present. SSTs in the central tropical Pacific are above El Nino thresholds, and atmospheric indicators are also indicative of an El Nino state. Ocean-atmosphere coupling (when the ocean and atmosphere work to reinforce the El Nino state) is likely to increase and keep El Nino going until at least the end of the year, says the report.